Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, May 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYPD | Yes | 43%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 39%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 72%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 67%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 56%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 53%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 52%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 46%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 28%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | No | 25%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 23%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 17%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Bus / Fast & Free | No | 13%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 10%n=22 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP