Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jun 15, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 77%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Celebrate / Celebrated / Celebration | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Parade | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | Yes | 18%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 66%n=81 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 59%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 46%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 37%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 33%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 23%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| MSG / Garden | No | 21%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 15%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 10%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 7%n=43 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP