Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Feb 5, 2026
In remarks on Feb 5, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 6 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hochul / Governor | Yes | 15 | 20 | ✓ | 34%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 67%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 64%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 81%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 39%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 33%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless / Homelessness | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trash / Garbage | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Snow | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Freeze / Freezing | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=24 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…Because on day eight of our administration, I stood on stage with Governor Hochul as she proclaimed that the era of empty promises is coming…
…and an assessment that the space meets all the requirements for a safe facility. And to be clear about those kinds of requirements we are…
…As we work to implement 2K and ensure every family in the five boroughs also has a 3K seat that meets their needs this fall,…
…a toll. We can and will address these issues together. We will also work to welcome more family and home-based childcare providers into our programs.
…City, one that all New Yorkers, all families, and all children can afford. It will be an era where young parents no longer feel torn…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-02-05:remarks-83cbb4 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-02-05:remarks-83cbb4 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP