Zohran Mamdani: Interview, Apr 16, 2026
In the interview on Apr 16, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 8 of the 18 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 18 of 18- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 5 | 7 | ✓ | 45%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 56%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | 36%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Pothole | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 3 | 10 | ✓ | 52%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 35%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 15%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 56%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Snow / Snowfall | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Cup | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=21 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…days. I mean, we saw $1.2 billion secured in a partnership with Governor Hochul to deliver universal child care in our city. We held bad…
…they should be, because New Yorkers are facing a big crisis in affordability, so I'll go through one by one. We said that we would…
…in this city is we can pursue the big things, like universal child care, and do the pothole politics at the same [time], and not…
It's no secret [how] I feel about the Iran war. The president and I are very honest about those disagreements, and I'll give you another…
…that time, I was told that, “You could only be a Democratic socialist in Northwest Queens.” Then I became the mayor. Now the next question…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-04-16:interview-6b62b1 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-04-16:interview-6b62b1 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP