Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Apr 6, 2026
In remarks on Apr 6, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 7 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 13 of 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 8 | 19 | ✓ | 59%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 7 | 8 | ✓ | 27%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 6 | 15 | ✓ | 34%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class / Middle Class | Yes | 5 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 1 | 4 | ✓ | 54%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 45%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 13%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 78%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Gun / Violence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rikers | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=22 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…City True Cost of Living Measure. Together these reports establish a framework for how our city will both measure affordability and plan for the future.
…the most expensive city in the United States of America. Because rent was too high, child care was too expensive and groceries cost too much.
…all who build it, and we will do so together. Thank you, and now I will introduce our Deputy Mayor for Economic Justice Julie Su.
…day I've been in office, we have delivered nearly $100,000 back to working-class New Yorkers, small businesses, and so many others who have been ripped…
…In addition to thanking our commissioner as well as the Medgar Evers president, Dr. Ramsey, I want to thank Council Member Sandy Nurse and Public…
…That is why when we secured $1.2 billion in partnership with the governor to place our city on a path to universal child care, we…
…We are less than 70 days away from the beginning of the World Cup. Now, I will tell you, as a soccer obsessive, that I…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-04-06:remarks-4c3fba · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-04-06:remarks-4c3fba · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP