Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jul 19, 2026
In remarks on Jul 19, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 2 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 25%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 78%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=90 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 6%n=53 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
Hello New York City, and welcome back to the Morning Pitch. You give us five minutes; we’ll give you the World Cup.
…900 restaurants and bars. Go to nyctourism.com and scroll down to the “Five Borough Winners Special” to find the full list. Today is the last…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-07-19:remarks-43e14f · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-07-19:remarks-43e14f · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP