Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jul 6, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
12 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 77%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 51%n=92 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 40%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 20%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 44%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 41%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 32%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 27%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 27%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 26%n=91 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 19%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 6%n=51 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUL06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP