Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Apr 24, 2026
In remarks on Apr 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 6 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 15- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Protest / Protester | Yes | 4 | 7 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 67%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 41%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 2 | 7 | ✓ | 35%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 56%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 51%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 54%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | No | 1 | 2 | ✗ | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 11%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Investigate / Investigating / Investigation | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Childcare | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 25%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…the NYPD to write down the policies they have in responding to protests at houses of worship. At the final time of its passage, it…
…renters, this fight is all of our fight. Housing security is public safety. Protecting our homes means protecting our families, neighborhoods and our future. We…
…Yorkers to succeed. I want them to build businesses, to grow our economy, and to create good-paying jobs, and Ken Griffin has been a part…
…working across City government. That includes not just in conversations with the NYPD, but also in conversations with the New York City Sheriff. Because as…
…corporations to pay that a little bit more so that everyone can afford to live in the city. And that means Ken Griffin, and that…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-04-24:remarks-d31833 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-04-24:remarks-d31833 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP