Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Feb 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Zohran Mamdani say during his next announcement?
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 85%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 70%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 49%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 37%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Property Tax | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 35%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 27%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 44%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 40%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 39%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Snow | No | 38%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 38%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | 32%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 19%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Millionaire / Billionaire | No | 17%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP