Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Feb 6, 2026
In remarks on Feb 6, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 8 of the 17 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 17
Kalshibacktest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 13 | 14 | ✓ | 69%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 82%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 36%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Freeze / Freezing | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 30%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 68%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 21%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Snow | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 33%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trash / Garbage | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Salt | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New Era | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…Monday, January 19th, we have made over 1,250 placements into shelters and safe havens and involuntarily transported 27 New Yorkers who are determined to be…
…that not only is this a city where the world is at home, but it's also a city where much of the world has found…
…311 immediately so our outreach workers and first responders at FDNY and NYPD can provide assistance. And to those who may consider themselves more comfortable…
…and every single city worker who has been working tirelessly throughout these freezing conditions. An arctic front continues to bear down on our city. New…
I think as the mayor, I'm responsible for city actions across the five boroughs. And I think that I have to be clear about that,…
…of existing City policy about the fact that we do not allow ICE agents into City properties, such as a school or a hospital, without…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-02-06:remarks-a8bb9d · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-02-06:remarks-a8bb9d · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP