Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Aug 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 78%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 67%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 60%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 30%n=104 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 52%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 49%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 38%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 36%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 32%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| Jew / Jewish | No | 29%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 25%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 17%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 13%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 6%n=64 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26AUG05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP