Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jun 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
12 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 76%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 63%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 51%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 43%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 32%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 31%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 22%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 22%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 14%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 9%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 7%n=44 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP