Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jul 20, 2026
In remarks on Jul 20, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 8 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Childcare | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | 38%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 72%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | 42%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 3 | 8 | ✓ | 29%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 3 | 5 | ✓ | 8%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 58%n=99 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 2 | 6 | ✓ | 43%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 21%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 6%n=58 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…license to sell identical goods outside versus inside their shop, to the childcare providers who have to navigate three different agencies — overlapping processes before…
…work, we hosted round tables [and] convened small business leaders across the five boroughs to understand their concerns. What we heard was not just an…
…Yorkers have gone to those bars, they've gone to the restaurants and they've really enjoyed the spirit of what has been an incredible World Cup.
…have, as you've heard from already, our Deputy Mayor Julie Su for Economic Justice. We have our deputy mayor for Health and Human Services, Helen…
…few things. Our administration did not reach out to the [ambassador] of Iran. Our administration received a request from the Iranian consulate. And as soon…
…makes too little. My focus is on those who are struggling to afford life in this city. And we see that definition has expanded over…
…and Labor, Council Member Shirley Aldebol. And we also have our borough president here — can we have a round of applause here, please, for…
…a suspect is in custody. My team is in touch with our NYPD, and we will be supporting the federal investigation. Our administration will continue…
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