Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, Jul 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his press conference?
Markets
13 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 69%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 61%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 48%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 44%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 37%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| Benjamin / Netanyahu | Yes | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 44%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 39%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 36%n=99 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 22%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 17%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 10%n=59 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUL22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP