Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, May 4, 2026
In remarks on May 4, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 6 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 3 | 8 | ✓ | 66%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | 40%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 70%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 53%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 1 | 4 | ✓ | 49%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 43%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 13%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 11%n=21 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…federal Section 8 and will provide 2,200 apartments across 39 buildings of affordable housing with free internet for the next three years. And it will…
…very clear that there was no prior coordination or planning between the NYPD and ICE ahead of this incident. NYPD officers were not dispatched to…
…work is critically important to our administration, and the Office of Community Safety is our vision for how to take what was previously disparately organized…
…the city is on firm financial footing after inheriting the largest fiscal deficit we've seen in a generation. Would you mind repeating the second question?
…our New York City Housing Preservation and Development commissioner, Dina Levy; the president of the New York Public Library, Anthony Marx; the New York City…
…internet is a basic necessity to be able to participate in this economy. And this $2 million will provide internet to an additional 2,000 apartments…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-05-04:remarks-cdc029 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-05-04:remarks-cdc029 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP