Zohran Mamdani: Episode, Apr 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during Meet the Press?
Markets
17 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 57%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 50%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 49%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 48%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 39%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | Yes | 23%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Pothole | No | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 48%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 42%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 40%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | No | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Snow / Snowfall | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 37%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 31%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 20%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26APR19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP