Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Apr 1, 2026

Mayor Mamdani Launches First-of-Its-Kind Child Care Website and Interactive Map

In remarks on Apr 1, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 6 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Budget / Deficit Yes2026✓59%n=17 from settlement history–
Billion Yes1922✓66%n=3 from settlement history–
Five Borough Yes44✓56%n=19 from settlement history–
Economy / Economic Yes46✓40%n=54 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes22✓57%n=44 from settlement history–
Governor / Hochul Yes26✓39%n=48 from settlement history–
Safe / Safer / Safety No00✓74%n=44 from settlement history–
Federal No00✓58%n=4 from settlement history–
Working Class / Middle Class No00✓54%n=3 from settlement history–
Trump / President No00✓49%n=35 from settlement history–
NYPD No00✓49%n=47 from settlement history–
Healthcare No00✓48%n=2 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian No00✓18%n=9 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Official transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.

Where the listed words were said

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Budget / Deficit” · qa

Speaker Menin’s preliminary budget proposal would result in slashing billions of dollars from agency budgets, which would force the city to cut services. Double-counting previously…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Billion” · qa

It claims more than $1.5 billion in personnel accrual and savings from a vacancy plan. We, as the administration in the preliminary budget, took the…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Five Borough” · prepared

…one that will, however, make a meaningful difference in parents' lives across five boroughs. Because we are taking one more step towards universal child care…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Economy / Economic” · qa

…both understands the scale of imagination, ambition and fluency required to deliver economic justice and economic growth hand-in-hand across the city because we know that…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Afford / Affordable / Affordability” · prepared

…York City, you shouldn't have to go to outer space to find affordable child care. So, with that being said, I am now going to…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Governor / Hochul” · qa

…the conversations we're having with our partners at the state level, the governor [and] legislative leaders in bridging this $5.4 billion fiscal deficit. And those…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-04-01:remarks-f01d94 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-04-01:remarks-f01d94 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP