Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Aug 4, 2026
In remarks on Aug 4, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 5 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 16 | 24 | ✓ | 46%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 16 | 26 | ✓ | 34%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 77%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 66%n=104 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 49%n=92 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | 37%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Jew / Jewish | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 6%n=63 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…making for quite some time. Before I begin, I want to thank Governor Kathy Hochul for her partnership. Making universal childcare a reality has always…
…their schemes may look different, they too must stay creative to afford childcare in our city. While there is pride in managing to make it…
…began many years ago with organizers, advocates and working parents across the five boroughs, sounding the alarm about the crushing cost of childcare. It began…
…And we've always said that the goal here is to make it affordable to raise a family; because the question is not about whether this…
…with us today. We have our New York City Public Schools chancellor, Kamar Samuels, here with us. We have our Bronx borough president, Vanessa Gibson.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-08-04:remarks-a6507b · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-08-04:remarks-a6507b · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP