Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Aug 6, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 68%n=106 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 36%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 34%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 79%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 62%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 49%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 46%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 33%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 31%n=102 from settlement history | – |
| Jew / Jewish | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 24%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 16%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 13%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 6%n=65 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26AUG06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP