Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Mar 25, 2026
In remarks on Mar 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 8 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 12 | 40 | ✓ | 56%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | Yes | 10 | 11 | ✓ | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 7 | 13 | ✓ | 50%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless / Homelessness | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tenant | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Property Tax | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 30%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 52%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 42%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| LaGuardia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…that we are cutting down on the time it takes to build affordable housing in this city by up to two and a half years.
…when we came into office, we saw it was at least $12 billion. Now, thanks to the hard work, both within City government, also in…
…this time given that we are still in the process of state budget negotiations, and I'm encouraged by the manner of those negotiations. And I'll…
…the next few years alone. I am deeply committed to ending the homelessness crisis in the city. I'm appreciative of the fact that that is…
…for stability, is not a fight that asks us to distinguish between tenants and homeowners. It's a fight that demands we take this seriously for…
…we're confident in continuing that process. And when it comes to the property taxes, we laid clearly that on February 17th, the date of the…
…have Council Member Chi Ossé, who is here with us; [Brooklyn] Borough President Antonio Reynoso, who is here with us. And we also have Rev.…
So, the conversations that we're having with the governor and with the state partners are ones that are productive. And we're looking forward to continuing…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-03-25:remarks-7b75bf · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-03-25:remarks-7b75bf · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP