Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jul 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
13 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 75%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 62%n=102 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 30%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Benjamin / Netanyahu | No | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 49%n=90 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 41%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 39%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 38%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 29%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 22%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 15%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 14%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 6%n=61 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUL28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP