Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Mar 31, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his infrastructure announcement?
Markets
15 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal | Yes | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class / Middle Class | Yes | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 78%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 61%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 57%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 57%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Housing | No | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| New Jersey | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tunnel / Bridge | No | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 43%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 40%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| EV / Electric | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bus / Fast & Free | No | 24%n=22 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP