Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jul 14, 2026
In remarks on Jul 14, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 5 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump / President | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | 45%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 40%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 69%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 58%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 29%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 28%n=92 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 9%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 6%n=55 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…our chancellor, Kamar Samuels, who is here with us. Our Manhattan Borough president, Brad Hoylman-Sigal, who is here with us. Our councilwoman, Carmen de la…
…be free from the endless questions of how they will afford quality childcare in the city they love; because City Hall is finally providing an…
…city. We know that Black and Latino students are excelling across the five boroughs, as are students in a wide variety of schools. We have…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-07-14:remarks-0e127d · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-07-14:remarks-0e127d · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP