Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jun 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 79%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 42%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | Yes | 8%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 54%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 45%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 44%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 31%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 29%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 28%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 27%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 18%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 7%n=48 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP