Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Apr 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his next announcement?
Markets
11 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 67%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 56%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 35%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 54%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 51%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 47%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 41%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | No | 26%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Bus / Fast & Free | No | 25%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26APR20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP