Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jul 15, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 70%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 60%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 34%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 27%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 48%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 45%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 35%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 23%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 20%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 9%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 6%n=56 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUL15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP