Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Aug 29, 2026

Sat, Aug 29RemarksHistory onlyZohran Mamdani

Updated

Markets

14 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Five Borough No74%n=66 from settlement history–
Safe / Safer / Safety No68%n=77 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No61%n=116 from settlement history–
Trump / President No49%n=104 from settlement history–
Landlord / Tenant No35%n=3 from settlement history–
Governor / Hochul No34%n=79 from settlement history–
NYPD No32%n=115 from settlement history–
Grocery No30%n=51 from settlement history–
Economy / Economic No26%n=112 from settlement history–
BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway No20%n=3 from settlement history–
Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit No20%n=3 from settlement history–
Free Bus / Fast & Free No16%n=36 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No9%n=22 from settlement history–
Billionaire No5%n=75 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26AUG29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP