What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Working Class / Middle Class” next time?

44%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Working Class / Middle Class”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Working Class / Middle Class” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Working Class / Middle Class” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 rallies we have transcripts for (Apr 12, 2026 – May 29, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

44%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 04:31 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Working Class / Middle Class

Probability: 44% · n=8
Settled: 4/8 (50%)
Last 3 rallies: said in 0 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…of: how can we ensure that those advancements go back to helping working-class New Yorkers also afford to dream that maybe they themselves could also…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Appears on Univision's ¡Despierta América! · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…"What's at stake?" What's at stake to me is whether or not working-class Americans look at democracy as something that can deliver for them or…