Will Zohran Mamdani say “Muslim”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Muslim” at 1 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 6, 2025 (10%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Muslim
- Probability
- 26% · n=10
- Settled
- 1/10 (10%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Muslim |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Muslim | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Muslim | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Muslim | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Muslim | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Muslim | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Muslim | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Muslim | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Muslim | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Muslim | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Muslim”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Muslim” at 1 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 6, 2025 (10%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Muslim” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Muslim’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/muslim (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=muslim · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP