What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Home / Housing” next time?

75%, from settlement history (n=35). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Home / Housing”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Home / Housing” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Home / Housing” at 32 of 35 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 3, 2026 (91%), most recently on Feb 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=35, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8. No keynotes among them yet.

75%from settlement history only · n=35Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 10 times
Counts: named speaker only
Market: 70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 01:47 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Home / Housing

Probability: 75% · n=35
Settled: 32/35 (91%)
Last 8 transcripts: said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…as we mark the beginning of a new, brighter chapter for all who call this development home. Truly, it is so exciting to be here.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…that keeps New Yorkers alive; it is work that keeps New Yorkers living and loving the city that they call home. Thank you so much.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…approximately generates 12,000 tons of waste and recycling. And in just the first six months of this year, City Hall has financed 12,000 affordable homes.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…clean rooms, cryogenics and other equipment, the tools that are needed to develop groundbreaking quantum technologies right here in the city that we call home.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Delivers Remarks at NYPD Memorial Wall With Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch · Oct 13, 2026In transcript

…42 members of service. It was a silence that resonates in their homes and precincts, on the streets where they walked the beat and the…