Will Zohran Mamdani say “Trump / President”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Trump / President” at 61 of 123 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=123, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6. No keynotes among them yet.

48%from settlement history only · n=123Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
68¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=president%20%2F%20trump

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Trump / President

Probability
48% · n=123
Settled
61/123 (50%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · our count 4 · the market settled no

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Zohran MamdanispeakerpreparedIn transcript

…senator, Jamaal Bailey, with a friend, Congressman George Latimer. The Bronx [borough] president, Vanessa Gibson. We have Rick Gropper from Camber Property Group. And a…

Zohran MamdanispeakerpreparedIn transcript

…I want to take a moment to recognize the Edenwald Tenant Association President Walter McNeill. If you know Edenwald, then you know Walter, because Walter…

Every match in the transcript

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Zohran MamdanispeakerqaIn transcript

…one and only public advocate, Jumaane Williams. We have the Brooklyn Borough president, Antonio Reynoso. We have the City councilwoman of this district, Councilwoman Jennifer…

Public Advocate Jumaane WilliamsotherqaIn transcript

…Thank you to the mayor, to the deputy mayor, Dr. Ayesha, borough president, all of the groups who are here, all of the folks who…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 15 by speakers the rule does not count.

Zohran MamdanispeakerpreparedIn transcript

…today. We have our deputy mayor, Julie Su. We have our EDC president and CEO, Tony Shorris. We have NYU President Linda Mills, NYU Tandon…

Every match in the transcript

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled no

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled no

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 23, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketNo4 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Oct 20, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketYes1
Oct 14, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketYes4
Oct 8, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketNo–
Oct 7, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketNo–
Sep 16, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketYes–
Sep 15, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Sep 14, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketYes–
Sep 11, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Sep 4, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Sep 3, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Sep 2, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketNo0
Sep 2, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Sep 1, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Aug 31, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo0
Aug 29, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Aug 27, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo0
Aug 26, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketYes4
Aug 26, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes4
Aug 24, 2026Trump / PresidentPolymarketNo0
Aug 24, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes3
Aug 15, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Aug 14, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo0
Aug 12, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Aug 11, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Aug 8, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes7
Aug 7, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Aug 6, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Aug 5, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Aug 4, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes1
Jul 29, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes4
Jul 28, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jul 25, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes4
Jul 22, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Jul 21, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes2
Jul 17, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo0
Jul 15, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jul 14, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes3
Jul 13, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Jul 10, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jul 8, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Jul 6, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Jul 2, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 29, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 28, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 27, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo0
Jun 26, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 23, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 22, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes–
Jun 22, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 15, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–
Jun 13, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes1
Jun 12, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jun 11, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo0
Jun 10, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes2
Jun 9, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Trump / President”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Trump / President” at 61 of 123 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Trump / President” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=123). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Trump / President’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/president-or-trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=president%20%2F%20trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP