Will Zohran Mamdani say “Five Borough”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Five Borough” at 54 of 75 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (72%), most recently on Sep 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=75, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceZohran Mamdani
Five Borough
- Probability
- 56% · n=75
- Settled
- 54/75 (72%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I sat down with a group of young men from across the five boroughs who had found meaning, support and a path forward thanks to…
…number 12,000 and its significance here in New York City. Across the five boroughs, we proudly boast 12,000 miles of sidewalks, 12,000 acres of green…
…more the city can do to protect immigrant New Yorkers across the five boroughs. Because I can tell you people are in a real sense…
…into a large contract with the City, like those needed to construct a new municipal building or provide an extensive service across the five boroughs.
…in our schools, at their work sites. Tonight, New Yorkers across the five boroughs are asking whether their civil liberties will be respected, whether law…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 3 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 2 | |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Five Borough | No | 0 | |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 3 | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 2 | |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 4 | |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 3 | |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 1 | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 1 | |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 2 | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 3 | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 1 | |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 3 | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 3 | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 4 | |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 2 | |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| May 29, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| May 27, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| May 26, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | – | |
| May 20, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 6 | |
| May 19, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 2 | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 4 | |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 4 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 2 | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Five Borough | No | – | |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Five Boroughs | No | – | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Five Borough | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Five Borough”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Five Borough” at 54 of 75 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (72%), most recently on Sep 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Five Borough” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=75). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Five Borough’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/five-borough (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=five%20borough · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP