Will Zohran Mamdani say “NYPD”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “NYPD” at 47 of 135 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (35%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=135, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. No keynotes among them yet.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 45¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceZohran Mamdani
NYPD
- Probability
- 34% · n=135
- Settled
- 47/135 (35%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…network already operates across 46 neighborhood service areas, reaching communities spanning 29 NYPD precincts. But community safety is about more than lines on a map;…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…we heard Gov. Hochul, we heard Gov. Hochul last night defending the NYPD police officers against some of the comments by Bruce Blakeman, saying that…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…It is a solemn privilege to be here alongside Commissioner Tisch and NYPD leadership as we remember 42 members of the New York City Police…
I have a question about NYPD enforcement. We asked them recently why their moving violations against car drivers have plummeted by 41 percent since 2021,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
At 4:04 p.m., the NYPD received two 911 calls reporting a person shot and shots fired in the vicinity of 2 Marble Hill Avenue. At…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | – | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | – | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | – | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | – | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | – | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Sep 1, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 5 | |
| Aug 31, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Aug 12, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Aug 11, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | – | |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 7, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Aug 6, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Aug 5, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | – | |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 1 | |
| Jul 28, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 2 | |
| Jul 22, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jul 21, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 2 | |
| Jul 17, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Jul 13, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jul 10, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jul 8, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | – | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 22, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 15, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 13, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 1 | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Jun 11, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 1 | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | NYPD | No | – | |
| Jun 6, 2026 | NYPD | Yes | 1 | |
| Jun 5, 2026 | NYPD | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “NYPD”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “NYPD” at 47 of 135 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (35%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “NYPD” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=135). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘NYPD’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/nypd (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=nypd · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP