Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Sep 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 68%n=81 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 34%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 8%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 72%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 57%n=120 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 41%n=108 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 32%n=119 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 28%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 24%n=115 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord / Tenant | No | 23%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway | No | 15%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit | No | 15%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 14%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 5%n=78 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26SEP02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP