Will Zohran Mamdani say “Socialist / Socialism”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Socialist / Socialism” at 8 of 40 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2025 (20%), most recently on Jun 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=40, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. No keynotes among them yet.

18%from settlement history only · n=40Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Socialist / Socialism

Probability
18% · n=40
Settled
8/40 (20%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 42 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 7, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Aug 6, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Aug 5, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Aug 4, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo0
Jul 28, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jul 25, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo0
Jul 22, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jul 21, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo0
Jul 17, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo0
Jul 15, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jul 14, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo0
Jul 13, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jul 10, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jul 8, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo–
Jul 6, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jul 2, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jun 29, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jun 27, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiYes2
Jun 26, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiYes–
May 28, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
May 18, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo0
May 18, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo0
May 13, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo–
Apr 22, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo–
Apr 19, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo–
Apr 16, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes2
Apr 12, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes16
Jan 30, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jan 20, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo–
Jan 19, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo0
Jan 6, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo0
Jan 5, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo0
Jan 3, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Jan 2, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiYes–
Nov 20, 2025Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Nov 6, 2025Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Nov 4, 2025Socialist / SocialismPolymarketYes–
Oct 28, 2025Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes–
Sep 6, 2025Socialist / SocialismPolymarketYes–
Sep 6, 2025Socialism / SocialistKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Socialist / Socialism”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Socialist / Socialism” at 8 of 40 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2025 (20%), most recently on Jun 27, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Socialist / Socialism” next time?
18%, from settlement history (n=40). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Socialist / Socialism’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP