Will Zohran Mamdani say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Iran / Iranian” at 2 of 34 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (6%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=34, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

14%from settlement history only · n=34counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Iran / Iranian

Probability
14% · n=34
Settled
2/34 (6%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Council Member Lincoln RestlerotherMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…want to just firstly acknowledge Linda, Sandy, in particular, led nonprofit organizations. I ran a nonprofit organization. Many of us in the Council have been…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 34 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 28, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Jul 25, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Jul 22, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Jul 21, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes3
Jul 17, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Jul 15, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Jul 14, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Jul 13, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Jul 2, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Jun 22, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
May 5, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Apr 30, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Apr 25, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Apr 24, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Apr 23, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Apr 22, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Apr 22, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Apr 19, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Apr 16, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes1
Apr 12, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Apr 12, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Apr 2, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Apr 1, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Mar 24, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Mar 19, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Mar 16, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Mar 13, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Mar 12, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Mar 12, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Mar 11, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Mar 10, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0
Mar 6, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo0

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Iran / Iranian” at 2 of 34 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (6%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
14%, from settlement history (n=34). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP