Will Zohran Mamdani say “New Era”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “New Era” at 7 of 37 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (19%), most recently on Apr 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=37, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
New Era
- Probability
- 15% · n=37
- Settled
- 7/37 (19%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…are so excited about this initiative and what it means for a new era in New York City. And with that, I want to introduce…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 38 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | New Era |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 15, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 29, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 27, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 26, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 20, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 19, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 18, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 18, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 13, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 24, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 16, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 17, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 27, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 24, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 23, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 22, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 9, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 9, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 8, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 7, 2026 | New Era | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “New Era”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “New Era” at 7 of 37 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (19%), most recently on Apr 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “New Era” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history (n=37). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘New Era’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/new-era (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=new%20era · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP