Will Zohran Mamdani say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 87 of 135 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (64%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=135, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. No keynotes among them yet.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 84¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 53% · n=135
- Settled
- 87/135 (64%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…home, one provided by their government and one that they could actually afford. A home where their two sons, Jerry and Andy, had the space…
…of dollars of investment on behalf of thousands of residents, all while ensuring permanently affordable rent in perpetuity and connecting residents to valuable social services.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…ensure that those advancements go back to helping working-class New Yorkers also afford to dream that maybe they themselves could also be at the forefront…
…I think that the governor has made clear time and time again what her vision is. It's a vision of a more affordable New York.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 87 of 135 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (64%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=135). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP