Will Zohran Mamdani say “Budget”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Budget” at 2 of 11 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (18%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 22% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. No keynotes among them yet.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 42¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Budget
- Probability
- 22% · n=11
- Settled
- 2/11 (18%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you're putting several million dollars into this effort right now. The NYPD budget is $6 billion-some. Do you see — is your whole administration on…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
And then the budget will be a time when we can explore all of the different ways to get to that end goal. But for…
…more than a year to access funds that they've already been promised, all while they are already struggling to make ends meet on razor-thin budgets.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Budget |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Budget | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Budget”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Budget” at 2 of 11 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (18%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Budget” next time?
- 22%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Budget’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/budget (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=budget · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP