What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Working People / Working Class” next time?

34%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Working People / Working Class”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Working People / Working Class” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Working People / Working Class” at 4 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

34%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes no no yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 06:54 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Working People / Working Class

Probability: 34% · n=12
Settled: 4/12 (33%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…movement that is part of something national, which is a fight for working people. When you think about Dr. El-Sayed's campaign, I often go back…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…only the wealthiest among us instead of extending them, too, to the working people who helped to make them possible. At City Hall, we believe…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Appears on Univision's ¡Despierta América! · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…"What's at stake?" What's at stake to me is whether or not working-class Americans look at democracy as something that can deliver for them or…