Will Zohran Mamdani say “Grocery”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Grocery” at 20 of 70 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (29%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=70, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. No keynotes among them yet.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 35¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceZohran Mamdani
Grocery
- Probability
- 23% · n=70
- Settled
- 20/70 (29%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…neighborhood. So, alongside the development of what will be the first city-run grocery store that will open up in that neighborhood to ensure that food…
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 1 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 7 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 7 | |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | – | |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 2 | |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | – | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | – | |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) | |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| May 29, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| May 28, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| May 27, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| May 26, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| May 20, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| May 19, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 13 | |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 1 | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Grocery | No | 0 | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | 5 | |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Grocery | No | – | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Grocery | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Grocery”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Grocery” at 20 of 70 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (29%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Grocery” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=70). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Grocery’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/grocery (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=grocery · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP