Will Zohran Mamdani say “Muslim / Islam”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Muslim / Islam” at 3 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 4, 2025 (13%), most recently on Jul 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Muslim / Islam
- Probability
- 18% · n=23
- Settled
- 3/23 (13%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
One of the officers we honor today, Detective Didarul Islam, carried that courage to his final breath. Last year, in the midst of the most…
Every settled listing
newest first · 23 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Muslim / Islam |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 29, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 27, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 26, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 20, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 18, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Muslim / Islam |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Muslim / Islam”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Muslim / Islam” at 3 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 4, 2025 (13%), most recently on Jul 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Muslim / Islam” next time?
- 18%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Muslim / Islam’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/islam-or-muslim (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=islam%20%2F%20muslim · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP