Will Zohran Mamdani say “Freeze / Freezing”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Freeze / Freezing” at 2 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 2, 2026 (17%), most recently on Feb 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Freeze / Freezing
- Probability
- 23% · n=12
- Settled
- 2/12 (17%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | 2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Freeze / Freezing”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Freeze / Freezing” at 2 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 2, 2026 (17%), most recently on Feb 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Freeze / Freezing” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Freeze / Freezing’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/freeze-or-freezing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=freeze%20%2F%20freezing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP