Will Zohran Mamdani say “Safe / Safer / Safety”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Safe / Safer / Safety” at 70 of 95 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (74%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=95, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6. No keynotes among them yet.

69%from settlement history only · n=95Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=safe%20%2F%20safer%20%2F%20safety

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Safe / Safer / Safety

Probability
69% · n=95
Settled
70/95 (74%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · said 23 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

23 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 23 in Q&A); 51 by speakers the rule does not count.

Zohran MamdanispeakerqaIn transcript

…friends, partners and advocates, those who have long worked to build a city that is safer, that is healthier and that is fairer for all.

Zohran MamdanispeakerqaIn transcript

…while leading the very work of keeping our neighborhoods and our community safe. Antoine's loss is heartbreaking for his family, for his loved ones, for…

Every match in the transcript

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Zohran MamdanispeakerqaIn transcript

…— even just kind of to Jacob's question — keeping New Yorkers safe at large, just yesterday evening, I had the privilege of seeing our…

Lisa SuotherqaIn transcript

…important in New York. It will make airplanes and even submarine travel safer. It will keep our communications from hackers. It will make them safer.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled no

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 20, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketYes23
Oct 14, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketYes1
Oct 8, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketYes–
Oct 7, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketNo–
Sep 16, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketYes–
Sep 15, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Sep 14, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketYes–
Sep 11, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Sep 4, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Sep 3, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Sep 2, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 2, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Sep 1, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes4
Aug 31, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes1
Aug 29, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Aug 27, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes2
Aug 26, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketYes1
Aug 26, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes1
Aug 24, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyPolymarketYes4
Aug 24, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes2
Aug 15, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Aug 14, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes4
Aug 12, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Aug 11, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Aug 8, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes2
Aug 7, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Aug 6, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Aug 5, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Jul 2, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Jun 22, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Jun 9, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Jun 4, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
May 18, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
May 18, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo0
May 13, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
May 13, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
May 12, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes7
May 8, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
May 5, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Apr 30, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes2
Apr 29, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes2
Apr 25, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes6
Apr 23, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes2
Apr 22, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Apr 20, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Apr 15, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes2
Apr 7, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Apr 2, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo0
Apr 1, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo0
Mar 31, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo–
Mar 16, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes13
Mar 13, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes3
Mar 12, 2026Safe / Safety / SaferKalshiYes–
Mar 11, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Feb 25, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Feb 24, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–
Feb 23, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Safe / Safer / Safety”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Safe / Safer / Safety” at 70 of 95 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (74%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Safe / Safer / Safety” next time?
69%, from settlement history (n=95). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Safe / Safer / Safety’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/safe-or-safer-or-safety (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=safe%20%2F%20safer%20%2F%20safety · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP