Will Zohran Mamdani say “World Cup”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “World Cup” at 12 of 33 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (36%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=33, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

39%from settlement history only · n=33counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

World Cup

Probability
39% · n=33
Settled
12/33 (36%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 34 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 28, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Jul 25, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
Jul 22, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Jul 21, 2026World CupKalshiYes3
Jul 17, 2026World CupKalshiYes7
Jul 15, 2026World CupKalshiYes–
Jul 14, 2026World CupKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jul 13, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Jul 10, 2026World CupKalshiYes–
Jul 8, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Jul 6, 2026World CupKalshiYes–
Jul 2, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Jun 22, 2026World CupKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026World CupKalshiYes–
May 28, 2026World CupKalshiYes–
May 18, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
May 18, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
May 13, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
May 13, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
May 12, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
May 5, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Apr 30, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
Apr 25, 2026World CupKalshiYes15
Apr 23, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Apr 19, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Apr 16, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026World CupKalshiNo0
Apr 12, 2026World CupKalshiYes1
Apr 2, 2026World CupKalshiYes1
Mar 31, 2026World CupKalshiNo–
Jan 19, 2026World CupKalshiNo0

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “World Cup”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “World Cup” at 12 of 33 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (36%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “World Cup” next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=33). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘World Cup’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/world-cup (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=world%20cup · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP