What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Bus / Fast & Free” next time?

14%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Bus / Fast & Free”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Bus / Fast & Free” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Bus / Fast & Free” at any of the 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.

14%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no
Streak: not said the last 9 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 22:30 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Bus / Fast & Free

Probability: 14% · n=9
Settled: 0/9 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…tackle the cause of violence at its root. On street corners and bus stops, on park benches and at bodega counters, mediating conflicts before they…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…more effectively, that will help predict traffic patterns and ensure that our buses can run faster, and that will help us engineer the materials needed…