Will Zohran Mamdani say “Billionaire”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Billionaire” at 4 of 94 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 27, 2025 (4%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 10% (n=94, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. No keynotes among them yet.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 24¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceZohran Mamdani
Billionaire
- Probability
- 10% · n=94
- Settled
- 4/94 (4%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – | |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Billionaire | No | 0 | |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Billionaire | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Billionaire”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Billionaire” at 4 of 94 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 27, 2025 (4%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Billionaire” next time?
- 10%, from settlement history (n=94). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP