Will Zohran Mamdani say “Billionaire”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Billionaire” at 4 of 94 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 27, 2025 (4%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 10% (n=94, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. No keynotes among them yet.

10%from settlement history only · n=94Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
24¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Billionaire

Probability
10% · n=94
Settled
4/94 (4%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 23, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo0
Oct 20, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo0
Oct 14, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo0
Oct 8, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo–
Oct 7, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo–
Sep 16, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo–
Sep 15, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Sep 14, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo–
Sep 11, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Sep 4, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Sep 3, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Sep 2, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo0
Sep 2, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Sep 1, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Aug 29, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Aug 27, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Aug 26, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo0
Aug 26, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Aug 24, 2026BillionairePolymarketNo0
Aug 24, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Aug 15, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Aug 14, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Aug 12, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Aug 11, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Aug 8, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Aug 7, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Aug 6, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Aug 5, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Aug 4, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jul 28, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jul 25, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jul 22, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jul 21, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jul 17, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jul 15, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jul 14, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jul 13, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jul 10, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jul 8, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jul 6, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jul 2, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 29, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 28, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 27, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jun 26, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 23, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 22, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 15, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 13, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jun 12, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jun 11, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jun 10, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jun 9, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 9, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 6, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jun 5, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jun 4, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Billionaire”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Billionaire” at 4 of 94 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 27, 2025 (4%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Billionaire” next time?
10%, from settlement history (n=94). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP