Will Zohran Mamdani say “School”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “School” at 8 of 10 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
School
- Probability
- 65% · n=10
- Settled
- 8/10 (80%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
And I had a high school friend of mine reach out and ask me, "What do we think about the Delivery Workers Protection Act?" And…
…be safe, not just in their home, but on their block, on their way to school and in the places where their community comes together.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…and CEO, Tony Shorris. We have NYU President Linda Mills, NYU Tandon School of Engineering Executive Dean Juan de Pablo. We have NYU Board Chair…
…in which there's Oscar and his 5-year-old child in broad daylight during school hours, where ICE agents were dressed up as construction workers wearing vests…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | School |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | School | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | School | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | School | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 7, 2026 | School | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | School | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 14, 2026 | School | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 2, 2026 | School | Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Aug 26, 2026 | School | Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | School | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “School”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “School” at 8 of 10 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “School” next time?
- 65%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘School’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/school (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=school · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP