Will Zohran Mamdani say “Family”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Family” at 8 of 10 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceZohran Mamdani
Family
- Probability
- 65% · n=10
- Settled
- 8/10 (80%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Now, 70 years ago, when Edenwald Houses was first built, a young family, the Gonzalezes, moved from Manhattan into an apartment on the campus where…
…thing of the past. After decades of disinvestment, the very rooms where families once played music became kitchens plagued with leaks, bathrooms covered in black…
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.
…our neighborhoods and our community safe. Antoine's loss is heartbreaking for his family, for his loved ones, for all of his colleagues across the crisis…
…the cost of their own safety. You know, I spoke to Antoine’s family and the heartbreak that they are dealing with, speaking about a man…
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…the chance to see the governor this morning. We met with a family who saved more than $27,000 because of the 2-K seat that their…
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Family | No | 3 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Family | Yes | 2 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Family | Yes | 2 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Family | Yes | – | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Family | Yes | – | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Family | No | – | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Family | Yes | – | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Family | Yes | 2 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Family | Yes | 2 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Family | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Family”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Family” at 8 of 10 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Family” next time?
- 65%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Family’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/family (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=family · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP