FOMC press conference
Every word
41–140 of 196, most settled first · page 2 of 3| Word | Sep 17 ’25conference | Oct 24remarks | Oct 29conference | Dec 10conference | Jan 28 ’26conference | Mar 18conference | Apr 29conference | Jun 17conference | Jul 29conference | Sep 16latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price15+ times | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Price 15+ times, Sep 16 conference | – | 2/2100% | 61%n=2 from settlement history |
| Tariff13+ times | Not listed: Tariff 13+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Tariff 13+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Tariff 13+ times, Oct 29 conference | 18 times: Tariff 13+ times, Dec 10 conference, counts as said | 15 times: Tariff 13+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Tariff 13+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Tariff 13+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Tariff 13+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Tariff 13+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Tariff 13+ times, Sep 16 conference | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 70%n=2 from settlement history |
| Volatile | Not listed: Volatile, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Volatile, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Volatile, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Volatile, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Volatile, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 1 time: Volatile, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Volatile, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Volatile, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Volatile, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Volatile, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 2/2100% | 68%n=2 from settlement history |
| Bet / Betting | Not listed: Bet / Betting, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Bet / Betting, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Bet / Betting, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Bet / Betting, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Bet / Betting, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Bet / Betting, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Bet / Betting, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Bet / Betting, Jun 17 conference | 1 time: Bet / Betting, Jul 29 conference, counts as said | 0 times: Bet / Betting, Sep 16 conference | 1/250% | 1/250% | 45%n=2 from settlement history |
| Growth8+ times | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Growth 8+ times, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/250% | 47%n=2 from settlement history |
| Michigan | Not listed: Michigan, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Michigan, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Michigan, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Michigan, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Michigan, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Michigan, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Michigan, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Michigan, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Michigan, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Michigan, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/250% | 40%n=2 from settlement history |
| Money | Not listed: Money, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled no: Money, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Money, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Money, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Money, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Money, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Money, Apr 29 conference | 1 time: Money, Jun 17 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Money, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Money, Sep 16 conference | 1/250% | 1/250% | 61%n=2 from settlement history |
| Percent25+ times | Not listed: Percent 25+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Percent 25+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Percent 25+ times, Oct 29 conference | 27 times: Percent 25+ times, Dec 10 conference, counts as said | 16 times: Percent 25+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference, below the threshold | Not listed: Percent 25+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Percent 25+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Percent 25+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Percent 25+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Percent 25+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/250% | 1/250% | 45%n=2 from settlement history |
| Predecessor | Not listed: Predecessor, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Predecessor, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Predecessor, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Predecessor, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Predecessor, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Predecessor, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Predecessor, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: Predecessor, Jun 17 conference | 1 time: Predecessor, Jul 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Predecessor, Sep 16 conference | 1/250% | 1/250% | 49%n=2 from settlement history |
| Successor | Not listed: Successor, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Successor, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Successor, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Successor, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Successor, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 1 time: Successor, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | 0 times: Successor, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Successor, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Successor, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Successor, Sep 16 conference | 1/250% | 1/250% | 45%n=2 from settlement history |
| Unemployment5+ times | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 5+ times, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/250% | 52%n=2 from settlement history |
| War | Not listed: War, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: War, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: War, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: War, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: War, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 1 time: War, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | 0 times: War, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: War, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: War, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: War, Sep 16 conference | 1/250% | 1/250% | 45%n=2 from settlement history |
| Deport/Deportation | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Deport/Deportation, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/20% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| EU / European Union | Not listed: EU / European Union, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: EU / European Union, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: EU / European Union, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: EU / European Union, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: EU / European Union, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: EU / European Union, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: EU / European Union, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: EU / European Union, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: EU / European Union, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: EU / European Union, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/20% | 25%n=2 from settlement history |
| Fuel | Not listed: Fuel, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Fuel, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Fuel, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Fuel, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Fuel, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Fuel, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Fuel, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Fuel, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Fuel, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Fuel, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/20% | 24%n=2 from settlement history |
| Groupthink / Group think | Not listed: Groupthink / Group think, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Groupthink / Group think, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Groupthink / Group think, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Groupthink / Group think, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Groupthink / Group think, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Groupthink / Group think, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Groupthink / Group think, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: Groupthink / Group think, Jun 17 conference | 0 times: Groupthink / Group think, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Groupthink / Group think, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| Independence | Not listed: Independence, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Independence, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Independence, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Independence, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Independence, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Independence, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Independence, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: Independence, Jun 17 conference | 0 times: Independence, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Independence, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| Kalshi | Not listed: Kalshi, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Kalshi, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Kalshi, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Kalshi, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Kalshi, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Kalshi, Mar 18 conference | 0 times: Kalshi, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Kalshi, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Kalshi, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Kalshi, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 18%n=2 from settlement history |
| Lawsuit | Not listed: Lawsuit, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Lawsuit, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Lawsuit, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Lawsuit, Dec 10 conference | 0 times: Lawsuit, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Lawsuit, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Lawsuit, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Lawsuit, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Lawsuit, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Lawsuit, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 19%n=2 from settlement history |
| Not our job | Not listed: Not our job, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Not our job, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Not our job, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Not our job, Dec 10 conference | 0 times: Not our job, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Not our job, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Not our job, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Not our job, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Not our job, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Not our job, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 23%n=2 from settlement history |
| Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement | Not listed: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Mar 18 conference | 0 times: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Replace / Replaces / Replaced / Replacement, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 18%n=2 from settlement history |
| R* / R-star / R star | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/20% | 25%n=2 from settlement history |
| Simulation | Not listed: Simulation, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Simulation, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Simulation, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Simulation, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Simulation, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Simulation, Mar 18 conference | 0 times: Simulation, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Simulation, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Simulation, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Simulation, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 22%n=2 from settlement history |
| Stablecoin | Not listed: Stablecoin, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Stablecoin, Oct 24 remarks | 0 times: Stablecoin, Oct 29 conference | Settled no: Stablecoin, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Stablecoin, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Stablecoin, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Stablecoin, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Stablecoin, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Stablecoin, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Stablecoin, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 21%n=2 from settlement history |
| Truflation | Not listed: Truflation, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Truflation, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Truflation, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Truflation, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Truflation, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Truflation, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Truflation, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Truflation, Jun 17 conference | 0 times: Truflation, Jul 29 conference | 0 times: Truflation, Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 15%n=2 from settlement history |
| Uncertainty5+ times | 2 times: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Sep 17 ’25 conference, below the threshold | Not listed: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Oct 24 remarks | 2 times: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Oct 29 conference, below the threshold | Not listed: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Uncertainty (5+ Times), Sep 16 conference | 0/20% | 0/20% | 22%n=2 from settlement history |
| Fifty / 50 | 5 times: Fifty / 50, Sep 17 ’25 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Fifty / 50, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Banking system6+ times | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled yes: Banking system 6+, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Banking system 6+, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Chair | Not listed: Chair, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Chair, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Chair, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Chair, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Chair, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Chair, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Chair, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: Chair, Jun 17 conference (our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes) | Not listed: Chair, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Chair, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Confidence | Not listed: Confidence, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Confidence, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Confidence, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Confidence, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Confidence, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Confidence, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Confidence, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Confidence, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Confidence, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Confidence, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Cut | Not listed: Cut, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Cut, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Cut, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Cut, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Cut, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Cut, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Cut, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Cut, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Cut, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Cut, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Cut3+ times | 11 times: Cut 3+, Sep 17 ’25 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Cut 3+, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Cut 3+, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Cut 3+, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Cut 3+, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Cut 3+, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Cut 3+, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Cut 3+, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Cut 3+, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Cut 3+, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Rate / Cut | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Apr 29 conference | 7 times: Rate / Cut, Jun 17 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Rate / Cut, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Data Center | Not listed: Data Center, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Data Center, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Data Center, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Data Center, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Data Center, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Data Center, Mar 18 conference | 2 times: Data Center, Apr 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Data Center, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Data Center, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Data Center, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Dollar2+ times | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 2 times: Dollar 2+ times, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Dollar 2+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Dual | Not listed: Dual, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Dual, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Dual, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Dual, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Dual, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Dual, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Dual, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Dual, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Dual, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Dual, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Dual Mandate | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Apr 29 conference | 2 times: Dual Mandate, Jun 17 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Dual Mandate, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Unemployment / Employment25+ times | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Oct 24 remarks | 25 times: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Oct 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment / Employment 25+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Food / Energy3+ times | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 12 times: Food / Energy 3+ times, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Food / Energy 3+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| FED | Not listed: FED, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: FED, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: FED, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: FED, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: FED, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: FED, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: FED, Apr 29 conference | 24 times: FED, Jun 17 conference, counts as said | Not listed: FED, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: FED, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Federal Reserve5+ times | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled yes: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Goal15+ times | 23 times: Goal 15+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Goal 15+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gold / Oil | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 14 times: Gold / Oil, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Gold / Oil, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Governor | Not listed: Governor, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Governor, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Governor, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Governor, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Governor, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Governor, Mar 18 conference | 8 times: Governor, Apr 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Governor, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Governor, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Governor, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Housing | Not listed: Housing, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Housing, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Housing, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Housing, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 2 times: Housing, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Housing, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Housing, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Housing, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Housing, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| inflation15+ times | Not listed: inflation, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: inflation, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: inflation, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: inflation, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: inflation, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: inflation, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: inflation, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: inflation, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: inflation, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: inflation, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Integrity | Not listed: Integrity, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Integrity, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Integrity, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Integrity, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Integrity, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Integrity, Mar 18 conference | 1 time: Integrity, Apr 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Integrity, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Integrity, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Integrity, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Kevin / Warsh | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Mar 18 conference | 6 times: Kevin / Warsh, Apr 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Kevin / Warsh, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Macroeconomic | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled yes: Macroeconomic, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Macroeconomic, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Maximum Employment | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Apr 29 conference | 1 time: Maximum Employment, Jun 17 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Maximum Employment, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Meeting9+ times | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Oct 24 remarks | 16 times: Meeting 9+ times, Oct 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Meeting 9+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Middle East | Not listed: Middle East, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Middle East, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Middle East, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Middle East, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Middle East, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Middle East, Mar 18 conference | 4 times: Middle East, Apr 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Middle East, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Middle East, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Middle East, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| North Star | Not listed: North Star, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: North Star, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: North Star, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: North Star, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: North Star, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: North Star, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: North Star, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: North Star, Jun 17 conference | 2 times: North Star, Jul 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: North Star, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Open-Minded | Not listed: Open-Minded, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Open-Minded, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Open-Minded, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Open-Minded, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Open-Minded, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Open-Minded, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Open-Minded, Apr 29 conference | 3 times: Open-Minded, Jun 17 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Open-Minded, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Open-Minded, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Sorry / Pardon | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 3 times: Sorry / Pardon, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Sorry / Pardon, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Percent20+ times | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 28 times: Percent 20+ times, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Percent 20+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Possibility | Not listed: Possibility, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Possibility, Oct 24 remarks | 2 times: Possibility, Oct 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Possibility, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Possibility, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Possibility, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Possibility, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Possibility, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Possibility, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Possibility, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Pressure | Not listed: Pressure, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Pressure, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Pressure, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Pressure, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Pressure, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Pressure, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Pressure, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Pressure, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Pressure, Jul 29 conference | 2 times: Pressure, Sep 16 conference, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Price10+ times | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Price 10+ times, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Progress | Not listed: Progress, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Progress, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Progress, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Progress, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Progress, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Progress, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Progress, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Progress, Jun 17 conference | 1 time: Progress, Jul 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Progress, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Projection5+ times | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Oct 29 conference | 5 times: Projection 5+ times, Dec 10 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Projection 5+ times, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Speculate / Speculation | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 3 times: Speculate / Speculation, Mar 18 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Speculate / Speculation, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Stable / Stability | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Apr 29 conference | 13 times: Stable / Stability, Jun 17 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Stable / Stability, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Summer | Not listed: Summer, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Summer, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Summer, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Summer, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Summer, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Summer, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Summer, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Summer, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Summer, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Summer, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Survey | Not listed: Survey, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Survey, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Survey, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Survey, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Survey, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Survey, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Survey, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Survey, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Survey, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Survey, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff10+ times | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Tariff 10+ times, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tightening | Not listed: Tightening, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Tightening, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Tightening, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Tightening, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Tightening, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Tightening, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Tightening, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Tightening, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Tightening, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Tightening, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trend | Not listed: Trend, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Trend, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Trend, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Trend, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Trend, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Trend, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Trend, Apr 29 conference | 1 time: Trend, Jun 17 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Trend, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Trend, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Unemployment | Not listed: Unemployment, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Unemployment, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Unemployment, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Unemployment, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Unemployment, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Unemployment, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Unemployment, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Unemployment15+ times | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Unemployment 15+, Sep 16 conference | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Variable | Not listed: Variable, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Variable, Oct 24 remarks | 1 time: Variable, Oct 29 conference, counts as said | Not listed: Variable, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Variable, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Variable, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Variable, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Variable, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Variable, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Variable, Sep 16 conference | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| 2008 / Financial Crisis | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: 2008 / Financial Crisis, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Affordability | Not listed: Affordability, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Affordability, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Affordability, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Affordability, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Affordability, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Affordability, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Affordability, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Affordability, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Affordability, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Affordability, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Again10+ times | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Oct 29 conference | 6 times: Again 10+ times, Dec 10 conference, below the threshold | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Again 10+ times, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| All-Time High / All-Time Low | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: All-Time High / All-Time Low, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Anchored3+ times | 1 time: Anchored 3+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference, below the threshold | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Anchored 3+ times, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Assumption | Not listed: Assumption, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Assumption, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Assumption, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Assumption, Dec 10 conference | 0 times: Assumption, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Assumption, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Assumption, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Assumption, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Assumption, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Assumption, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Asymmetric | Not listed: Asymmetric, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Asymmetric, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Asymmetric, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Asymmetric, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Asymmetric, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Asymmetric, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Asymmetric, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: Asymmetric, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Asymmetric, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Asymmetric, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| JPMorgan / Bank of America | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled no: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: JPMorgan / Bank of America, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bank50+ times | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled no: Bank 50+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Bank 50+ times, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bank65+ times | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled no: Bank 65+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Bank 65+ times, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Million / Billion / Trillion10+ times | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled no: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Citrini | Not listed: Citrini, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Citrini, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Citrini, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Citrini, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Citrini, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Citrini, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Citrini, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Citrini, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Citrini, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Citrini, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Collect / Collected | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Collect / Collected, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Collect / Collected, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Lisa / Cook | 0 times: Lisa / Cook, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Lisa / Cook, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Covid-19 / Pandemic | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled no: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Covid-19 / Pandemic, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| DeepSeek | Not listed: DeepSeek, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: DeepSeek, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: DeepSeek, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: DeepSeek, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: DeepSeek, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: DeepSeek, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: DeepSeek, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: DeepSeek, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: DeepSeek, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: DeepSeek, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Defense | Not listed: Defense, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Defense, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Defense, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Defense, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Defense, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Defense, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Defense, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Defense, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Defense, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Defense, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Delayed / Delay | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Delayed / Delay, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Delayed / Delay, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Depression / Recession | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: Depression / Recession, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Depression / Recession, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Disinflation | Not listed: Disinflation, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Disinflation, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Disinflation, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Disinflation, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Disinflation, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Disinflation, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Disinflation, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Disinflation, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Disinflation, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Disinflation, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Dissenter | Not listed: Dissenter, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Dissenter, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Dissenter, Oct 29 conference | 0 times: Dissenter, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Dissenter, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Dissenter, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Dissenter, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Dissenter, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Dissenter, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Dissenter, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Distortion | Not listed: Distortion, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Distortion, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Distortion, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Distortion, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Distortion, Jan 28 ’26 conference | 0 times: Distortion, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Distortion, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Distortion, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Distortion, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Distortion, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Downside | Not listed: Downside, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Downside, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Downside, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Downside, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Downside, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Downside, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Downside, Apr 29 conference | 0 times: Downside, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Downside, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Downside, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Earnings | Not listed: Earnings, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Earnings, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Earnings, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Earnings, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Earnings, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Earnings, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Earnings, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Earnings, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Earnings, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Earnings, Sep 16 conference | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Echo | Not listed: Echo, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Echo, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Echo, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Echo, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Echo, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Echo, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Echo, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Echo, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Echo, Jul 29 conference | 0 times: Echo, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Echo of History | Not listed: Echo of History, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Echo of History, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Echo of History, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Echo of History, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Echo of History, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Echo of History, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Echo of History, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Echo of History, Jun 17 conference | 0 times: Echo of History, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Echo of History, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Economic Cycle | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Settled no: Economic Cycle, Oct 24 remarks | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Economic Cycle, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Edging3+ times | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conference | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Oct 24 remarks | 0 times: Edging 3+ times, Oct 29 conference | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Dec 10 conference | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Mar 18 conference | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Apr 29 conference | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Jun 17 conference | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Jul 29 conference | Not listed: Edging 3+ times, Sep 16 conference | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/fomc-press-conference · words: /api/v1/history?entity=fomc-press-conference · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP